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As evidence, the group points to the last two major downturns. The Great Recession added roughly 35 percentage points of GDP to the national debt. The pandemic response added another 20 points. In neither case did Washington subsequently rein in its borrowing once the immediate danger passed. The result is a structural deficit that now operates as a permanent feature of the federal budget rather than a temporary response to crisis.
Nuveen’s Persson, who was a tech analyst during the dot-com era on fixed income, has the benefit of hindsight as he assesses the current situation. Most of the issuers back then had no free cash flow and in some cases, no revenue.